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Great North Playoff Prediction From an Ignorant Guy
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1. Gladiators - Go undefeated, and have the better points against than the Cobras, so they get the #1 spot

2. Cobras - Go undefeated, lose #1 spot due to points against stat

3. Anarchy - Win-out here, and get the #1 spot in Idaho

4. Xtreme - There's really no competition for them at this point for the #2 Montana spot

5. Mustangs - Yes, I am biased, but I don't see the Mustangs losing the next two games, and they will have the head-to-head over the Diggers

6. Oilers - Just need to beat Wyoming at this point to make the playoffs

7. Diggers - Lose the next two, best of the rest.



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Idaho Mustangs #43



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The tie breaker is strength of schedule not points against unless I'm mistaken.  That's the way it was set up originally at the start of  the season.



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If someone has a few extra minutes he or she should put together the strength of schedule rankings so we can get a little more clarity on the playoff scenario. 



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RMFLsuperFan wrote:

The tie breaker is strength of schedule not points against unless I'm mistaken.  That's the way it was set up originally at the start of  the season.


 Gladiators would still have the SOS over the Cobras



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Idaho Mustangs #43



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I think everyone is thinking of the seeding and potential situations for the other teams below the Cobras and Gladiators. That Idaho division is very hard to calculate. I think teams 1-4 can all still make the playoffs. I could be mistaken. There is a way the the Oilers can still make the playoffs but that's the only mystery in the Utah division. Montana division is already wrapped up.

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Jaye Webster Utah Cobras


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I guess there are two ways of doing this. I just counted each opponent once. So if you played a team twice, they only count once to your SOS.

These are the SOS:

1 Avalanche

2. Oilers

3. Warriors

4. Anarchy

5. Stampede

6. Mustangs

7. Monsters

8. Outlaws

9. Diggers

10. Gladiators

11. Xtreme

12. Cobras



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Idaho Mustangs #43



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If you count teams you played twice two times in the W/L columns these would be the SOS:

1. Avalanche

2. Warriors

3. Oilers

4. Stampede

5. Mustangs

6. Monsters

7. Anarchy

8. Outlaws

9. Diggers

10. Xtreme

11. Gladiators

12. Cobras



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Idaho Mustangs #43



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I want to preface this post by saying I am not predicting anything. These are simply the best and worst playoff scenarios for each team. The Anarchy, Cobras, and Gladiators have all wrapped up their respective divisions. Only three teams are mathematically eliminated, and there are three un-clinched playoff spots up for grabs. Here is the best and worst case scenarios for each team. These scenarios are assuming the following:

- The above strength of schedule is correct

- The strength of schedule is counting inter-division teams twice, not once

- Strength of schedule is actually the tie-breaker

- Strength of schedule doesn't change

 

 

 

Best case scenarios for each team

 

Idaho
*Anarchy- 3 Seed regardless of win or loss

Diggers- 4 Seed with win

Stampede- 4 Seed with win and Diggers loss

Mustangs- 4 Seed with win and Stampede loss

 

Utah

*Cobras- 1 Seed with win and Gladiators loss

Outlaws- 5 Seed with win, Mustang loss, Stampede loss

Oilers- 7 Seed with win, Stampede loss, Outlaws loss

Warriors- Eliminated from playoff contention

 

Montana

*Gladiators- 1 Seed with win

*Xtreme- 4 Seed with win or Diggers loss

Monsters- Eliminated from playoff contention

Avalanche- Eliminated from playoff contention

 

 

Worst case scenarios for each team

 

Idaho

*Anarchy- 3 Seed regardless of win or loss

Diggers- Eliminated with loss, Stampede win, Outlaws win

Stampede- Eliminated with loss and two of the following: Mustangs win, Outlaws win, Oilers win

Mustangs- Eliminated with loss and Outlaws win

 

Utah

*Cobras- 2 seed with loss or Gladiators win

Outlaws- Eliminated with loss or Stampede win and Mustangs win

Oilers- Eliminated with loss or two of the following: Stampede win, Mustangs win, Outlaws win

Warriors- Eliminated from playoff contention

 

Montana

*Gladiators- 2 Seed with loss and Cobras win

*Xtreme- 5 Seed with loss and Diggers win

Monsters- Eliminated from playoff contention

Avalanche- Eliminated from playoff contention

 

*Clinched playoff berth



-- Edited by stampede6 on Tuesday 24th of May 2016 11:02:04 AM

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The Mustangs and Stampede have no hope of a #4 seed. The Xtreme have already put it out of reach for those two teams. The only team that could take it from them is the Diggers. If the Diggers win, and the Xtreme lose, then the Diggers take 4th seed, and Xtreme take 5th.



-- Edited by blah blah blah on Tuesday 24th of May 2016 04:06:44 PM

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Idaho Mustangs #43



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1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

10th

11th

12th

 

Playoff

Anarchy

0%

0%

100%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

 

100.00%

Avalanche

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

25%

75%

 

0.00%

Cobra

25%

75%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

 

100.00%

Diggers

0%

0%

0%

25%

25%

16%

31%

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

 

96.88%

Gladiators

75%

25%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

 

100.00%

Monsters

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

3%

31%

56%

10%

0%

 

0.00%

Mustangs

0%

0%

0%

0%

38%

17%

28%

16%

2%

0%

0%

0%

 

82.81%

Oilers

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1%

28%

35%

26%

10%

0%

 

0.78%

Outlaws

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

22%

19%

34%

25%

0%

0%

0%

 

40.63%

Stampede

0%

0%

0%

0%

13%

45%

21%

16%

5%

0%

0%

0%

 

78.91%

Warriors

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

3%

18%

54%

25%

 

0.00%

Xtreme

0%

0%

0%

75%

25%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

 

100.00%

 

So I'm a dork, and I was bored today. So I calculated the percent chance every team had of taking each place. Here they are enjoy:

                 



-- Edited by Beez25 on Thursday 2nd of June 2016 10:22:15 PM



-- Edited by Beez25 on Friday 3rd of June 2016 09:41:21 AM

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Mustangs #25



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1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

 

Playoff

REV

100%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

 

100.00%

Raiders

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

100%

 

0.00%

Trojans

0%

25%

75%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

 

100.00%

Vipers

0%

0%

0%

0%

50%

13%

38%

0%

0%

 

62.50%

Sting

0%

0%

0%

0%

13%

25%

13%

50%

0%

 

37.50%

Hawks

0%

0%

0%

0%

13%

13%

25%

50%

0%

 

25.00%

Lions

0%

75%

25%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

 

100.00%

Wildcats

0%

0%

0%

0%

25%

50%

25%

0%

0%

 

75.00%

Shock

0%

0%

0%

100%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

 

100.00%

 



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Mustangs #25

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